Houston is projected to win more regular season games Houston is projected to win more regular season games

Cincinnati Football: Over/under regular season win totals for each AAC team

Cincinnati running back Ryan Montgomery runs the ball against Houston. USA Today.
Cincinnati running back Ryan Montgomery runs the ball against Houston. USA Today. /
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Even though the Bearcats have won back to back AAC championships, Houston is projected to win more regular season games and a few other teams are expected to compete for the conference crown. Check out the win totals for each AAC team!

Cincinnati Football: Over/under win totals for each AAC team

Houston Cougars (9.5)

Clayton Tune enters his senior campaign as Houston’s quarterback with hopes of winning an AAC championship. The Cougars win total is currently set at 9.5 with games against Memphis, SMU, Texas Tech, Tulsa and more.

Cincinnati Bearcats (9)

After going 44-7 in the last four seasons, the Bearcats should have a chance to win 10+ games again but Arkansas, Indiana, Tulsa, SMU, and UCF will present challenges as the program attempts to clinch a historic 3-peat.

UCF Knights (8.5)

Gus Malzahn enters his second season with John Rhys Plumlee and Isaiah Bowser leading a talented offense. After winning nine games a year ago, the Knights should have a chance to win their first AAC championship since 2018.

Memphis Tigers (7.5)

Memphis appeared in three straight AAC title games from 2017-2019 but haven’t been nearly as competitive since. If the Tigers can pull off an upset over Mississippi State next week then reaching eight wins should be realistic.

SMU Mustangs (7)

First year head coach Rhett Lashlee should be able to get the Mustangs to a bowl game for a fourth straight year but early season matchups against Maryland, TCU and UCF will make it difficult to surpass the projected seven wins.

East Carolina Pirates (6.5)

The Pirates reached a bowl game for the first time in seven years and are projected to again as a tough season opener against NC State awaits, followed by matchups with BYU, Cincinnati, Houston, Temple and Tulane.

Tulane Green Wave (6.5)

Michael Pratt was hampered by a shoulder injury that led to a 2-10 record in 2021. A year later, Tulane is projected to clinch a bowl berth but road trips to Cincinnati, Houston and Kansas State will make it a challenging path.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5.5)

Phillip Montgomery has turned Tulsa into a consistently competitive program since being hired in 2015 but it seems more likely they are headed for an underwhelming campaign with the over/under win total at 5.5 wins.

South Florida Bulls (4.5)

South Florida should take a step forward after finishing with a 2-10 record and six consecutive losses to end last season but games against BYU, Cincinnati, Florida, Houston, Louisville and UCF are definitely daunting.

Navy Midshipmen (4)

Despite going 1-5 at home, the Midshipmen showed signs of life towards the end of last season. It’s difficult to tell which direction Navy is headed but it seems like four wins should be doable with a potent rushing attack.

Temple Owls (2.5)

Temple was considered a premier program in the AAC before falling on hard times and drastically slipping in the conference standings. The Owls are just 4-15 in the last two years and shouldn’t exceed low expectations this season.

Cincinnati might not be the clear cut favorites like last season but a third straight championship and another 10-win season is certainly within reason. I’m also expecting Houston, Memphis, SMU and Tulsa to surpass the over/under win totals.

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